Seniors Housing Market Fundamentals Show Improvement in Demand. NIC MAP Vision clients, with access to NIC MAP® data, attended a webinar in mid-October on key seniors housing data trends during the third quarter of 2021. Findings were presented by the NIC Analytics research team. Key takeaways included the following:
The Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by a disappointing 195,000 in September 2021. The consensus had been for an increase of 500,000. This was a deceleration from August when jobs grew by an upwardly revised 366,000 (originally reported as 235,000) and from July when jobs increased by 1,091,000, up from 1,053,000 as originally reported.
The total investment return for the seniors housing sector was a positive 0.54% in the second quarter of 2021. This marked the fourth consecutive quarterly gain after one quarter of negative returns in the second quarter of 2020 when total returns were negative 1.00%; that marked the first negative total return since 2012 and prior to that in 2009.
The Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by a weaker than expected 235,000 in August 2021. The consensus had been for an increase of 725,000. This was a sharp deceleration from July when jobs grew by 1.1 million and June when jobs increased by 962,000. Through August, monthly job growth has averaged 586,00 per month. Nonfarm payrolls are now up by 17.0 million since April 2020 but remain down by 5.3 million or 3.5% from pre-pandemic levels of February 2020.