Active adult rental properties serve older Americans who wish to live in a multifamily setting with other residents who generally are more independent and active than the residents in today’s senior housing offerings. NIC MAP Vision recently released inventory data for active adult for the fourth quarter of 2022. The analysis presented in this blog post aggregates the inventory and demographics of these active adult communities by market; calculates penetration rates within each market; and identifies where the largest concentration of inventory is located. Note that this analysis simply evaluates the supply side of the active adult market given the availability of inventory data. NIC MAP Vision is scheduled to release performance data such as occupancy and rents later in 2023, which should provide further insight into active adult demand.
NIC MAP Vision clients, with access to NIC MAP® data, attended a webinar in mid-January on key seniors housing data trends during the fourth quarter and full year 2022. Findings were presented by the NIC Analytics research team. Key takeaways included the following:
Senior Housing Occupied Stock Surpasses Pre-Pandemic Level and is Now at its Highest Level Since NIC Began Reporting the Data in 2005. According to quarterly NIC MAP® data released by NIC MAP Vision, demand, as measured by the change in occupied units, continued to largely outpace new supply in fourth quarter 2022, marking its seventh consecutive quarter of positive increases, with a net absorption gain from the prior quarter of more than 8,600 units, or 1.5% for the NIC MAP Primary Markets. From its pandemic low in the first quarter of 2021, senior housing occupied stock increased by about 52,200 units and is now above its pre-pandemic 1Q 2020 level. Notably, it took seven quarters to fully recover all the senior housing units vacated during the first four quarters of the pandemic.