The unemployment rate fell to 3.4% in January, its lowest level since 1969 and below December’s already low rate of 3.5%. Separately, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics also reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by a very large 517,000 in January 2023, nearly twice as much as in December (260,000) and more than the monthly average of 401,000 in 2022. Market expectations had called for a gain of less than 200,000 jobs. Revisions added 71,000 positions to total payrolls in the previous two months. The monthly gain and revisions paint an image of a still strong labor market.
Data from the recently released 3Q2022 NIC MAP Vision Actual Rates Report showed growth for asking rates remained high on a year-over-year basis for all three care segments (independent living, assisted living, and memory care) for the data contributors to this data collection. In the recently released report, monthly data of actual rates and leasing velocity are presented through September 2022, including data on rate discounting and move-in/move-out trends. Key takeaways from the report, specifically from the Segment Type report, are presented below. Care segments refer to the levels of care and services provided to a resident living in an assisted living, memory care or independent living unit.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by 263,000 in November 2022 and the unemployment rate remained steady at 3.7%. The November increase was roughly the same as average growth over the prior three months (282,000), but well below the year-to-date average of 392,000 and the monthly average of 562,000 seen in 2021, and higher than the average monthly gains of 164,000 seen in 2019. Market expectations had called for a gain of 200,000 jobs. Revisions subtracted 23,000 positions to total payrolls in the previous two months. The monthly gain paints an image of a still growing, but slowing, labor market.
This article originally appeared in the “Emerging Trends in Real Estate® 2023” report issued by the Urban Land Institute and PwC. Data cited in article as of original publish date; more current data may be available. Major factors influencing senior housing continue to evolve. Some trends are well known while others are still developing. In 2022 and into 2023, trends for senior housing include the following: