NIC Notes

Insights in Seniors Housing & Care

Economic Trends

Seniors Housing Returns Outpace NPI

By: Beth Mace  |  December 02, 2015

Returns Strong. Third-quarter return performance data for the NCREIF-reported seniors housing properties was strong. Total returns equaled 4.20%, composed of a 2.80% capital return and a 1.39% income return. On a one-year basis, total returns were an impressive 16.32%, overshadowing NPI’s strong results (13.48%) as well as those for apartments (12.02%). Income returns for seniors housing are consistently strong, reflecting steady and reliable NOI growth in the sector, while strong capital flows and avid investor interest support capital returns for the sector. On a 10-year basis, total returns for seniors housing exceeded both the NPI and apartments by roughly 550 basis points. These performance measurements reflect the returns of seven managers, who reported $3.2 billion of seniors housing performance data on stabilized properties to NCREIF in the third quarter.

Economic Trends

Strong Labor Department Report for October

By: Beth Mace  |  November 06, 2015

Today’s Labor Department employment report for the month of October was strong and possibly strong enough for the Federal Reserve to raise its benchmark interest rate at its upcoming December meetings. A rate hike had been expected by many analysts for much of 2015, but weakness in the labor markets, among other things, has kept the Fed on the sidelines.

Economic Trends

Seniors Housing Construction Cycle Drivers and Market Impacts

By: Beth Mace  |  November 04, 2015

Beth Burnham Mace, Chief Economist, Director of Capital Markets Outreach

Economic Trends

Interest Rates, Cap Rates, and Property Values

By: Beth Mace  |  September 16, 2015

Investor interest in the seniors housing and care sector is strong. Transactions are near peak levels in terms of both dollar volumes and the number of deals closing. Over the past four quarters, 554 deals closed, a near-record pace and equal to $23.4 billion of transactions. Strong demand is pressuring prices higher, with per-unit pricing averaging $173,000 for seniors housing and $73,000 for skilled nursing on a four-quarter moving average basis in the second quarter of 2015. Prices for seniors housing have never been so high.

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