Strong Demand Has Provided a Stable Foundation for Senior Housing Occupancy Recovery. According to second quarter 2023 NIC MAP® data, released by NIC MAP Vision, senior housing demand, as measured by the change in occupied units, continued to outpace new supply, marking its ninth consecutive quarter of growth with a net
The following analysis examines occupancy and year-over-year changes in inventory, and same-store asking rent growth—by care segment—within entrance fee CCRCs and rental CCRCs in the 99 combined NIC MAP Primary and Secondary Markets. The analysis also explores the recovery of regional occupancy rates by payment type (entrance fee CCRCs vs. rental CCRCs) as well as the distribution of occupancy rates by payment type across all care segments during the first quarter of 2023.
According to estimates derived from an analysis released by NIC Analytics in 2022, approximately one in nine Americans aged 65 and older, totaling 6.5 million individuals, are affected by Alzheimer’s or other dementias. The analysis further indicated that the prevalence increased with age, with higher ratios observed in older age cohorts. By projecting the findings to 2030, NIC Analytics estimated that around 8.2 million Americans will be living with Alzheimer’s or other forms of dementia just seven years from now. These estimates highlight the importance of providing tailored and innovative care and support to meet the growing demand for specialized memory care services.
The senior housing stabilized occupancy rate for the NIC MAP Primary Markets edged up to 84.7% in the May 2023 reporting period, up 0.1 percentage points (pps) from the April 2023 reporting period on a three-month rolling basis, according to intra-quarterly NIC MAP® data, released by NIC MAP Vision. From its pandemic record low of 80.3% in June 2021, senior housing stabilized occupancy increased by 4.4pps but remained 4.7pps below pre-pandemic March 2020 levels of 89.4%.