“Single-site operators and those with between two and nine properties were more likely to be considering product diversification, with single-site operators favoring lower acuity settings (36%) and those with between two and nine properties equally considering lower acuity (20%) and higher acuity settings (20%). With regards to expected changes to various care segments in their portfolio of properties, approximately half of respondents expect to increase the active adult (age 55+) and independent living care segments, while just under one-half (45% and 41%) anticipate increases in their assisted living and memory care segments. When asked about the contributing factors to the acceleration of move-outs, operators cite residents moving to higher levels of care as the leading cause (45%), followed by deaths (35%), resident and family member concerns (10%), natural disasters (5%), and current economic conditions (5%).”
The all-occupancy rate for senior housing for the NIC MAP Primary Markets increased to 82.8% in the October 2022 reporting period, up 0.6 percentage point (pps) from the September 2022 reporting period on three-month rolling basis, according to intra-quarterly NIC MAP® data, released by NIC MAP Vision. From its pandemic record low of 77.9% in June 2021, senior housing all-occupancy increased by 4.9pps and is now more than halfway in the road to recovery, with a gap of 4.4pps from the pre-pandemic March 2020 level of 87.2%.
NIC Analytics released the 2Q 2022 NIC Lending Trends Report today. The quarterly report, available for free to NIC's constituents, currently tracks $86.8 billion in senior housing and nursing care loans. The report includes data over five years for construction loans, mini-perm/bridge loans, and permanent loans from 3Q 2016 through 2Q 2022.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by 261,000 in October 2022 and the unemployment rate rose 0.2 percentage point to 3.7%. The October increase was well below the year-to-date average of 407,000 and below the monthly average of 562,000 seen in 2021. The monthly gain paints an image of a still growing, but slowing, labor market. For perspective, in 2019, job gains averaged 164,000 per month. Revisions added 29,000 positions to total payrolls in the previous two months.