In the years ahead, millions of aging middle-income Americans will need a reasonably priced housing and care option. But innovative ideas are vital to solve the issue of affordability. Cutting-edge strategies for the senior housing middle market will be shared by the industry’s top leaders and stakeholders at a session during the 2022 NIC Spring Conference in Dallas (March 23-25.)
The Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by 678,000 in February 2022. This was stronger than market expectations of an increase of 423,000 and occurred despite the impact of omicron on the economy. Revisions added 92,000 to total payrolls in the previous two months. Nevertheless, nonfarm payrolls were still down by 2.1 million or 1.4% from their pre-pandemic level in February 2020.
Stakeholders at 2021 NIC Fall Conference weigh in on the latest trends. Considering the dramatic impact of the pandemic on senior housing and care, it’s surprising how well valuations have held up over the last two years. Investors like what they see. The worst seems to be over as the Omicron variant subsides. Occupancy is recovering. Demand is projected to only get stronger from pent-up demand in the near-term and demographic trends in the longer term.
The spread of the COVID-19 Omicron variant (and seasonality) had a moderate impact on the pace of move-ins. While the pace of move-ins slowed during the Omicron surge, residents were not leaving out the back door of communities at the same rates that they did earlier in the pandemic. Respondents with nursing care beds cited lack of available staff, fewer hospital discharges due to COVID-19, and the holidays as reasons for a deceleration in the pace of move-ins. Notably, between 70% and 80% of organizations reported no change in the pace of move-outs, indicating that most residents have remained in their communities.