NIC Analytics released the 2Q 2022 NIC Lending Trends Report today. The quarterly report, available for free to NIC's constituents, currently tracks $86.8 billion in senior housing and nursing care loans. The report includes data over five years for construction loans, mini-perm/bridge loans, and permanent loans from 3Q 2016 through 2Q 2022.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that nonfarm payrolls rose by 261,000 in October 2022 and the unemployment rate rose 0.2 percentage point to 3.7%. The October increase was well below the year-to-date average of 407,000 and below the monthly average of 562,000 seen in 2021. The monthly gain paints an image of a still growing, but slowing, labor market. For perspective, in 2019, job gains averaged 164,000 per month. Revisions added 29,000 positions to total payrolls in the previous two months.
NIC MAP Vision clients, with access to NIC MAP® data, attended a webinar in mid-October on key seniors housing data trends during the third quarter of 2022. Findings were presented by the NIC Analytics research team. Key takeaways included the following:
“Increased acuity of residents at move-in is being reported across all care segments, driven by delayed move-ins, but the most cited challenge facing operators – reported by more than 90% of respondents in the Wave 46 survey – is rising operator expenses. Responses to questions on property and professional liability insurance provide additional insight into that sentiment. Just under one-tenth of respondents reported the degree of staffing shortages across their organization to be severe, representing the lowest share of respondents reporting severe staffing shortages in the time this question has been asked. Though labor challenges persist, this may represent a glimmer of relief to the longstanding staffing crisis. Further, the survey results indicate that rent concessions are being offered at fewer properties now than was the case in earlier parts of 2022."