The spread of the COVID-19 Omicron variant (and seasonality) had a moderate impact on the pace of move-ins. While the pace of move-ins slowed during the Omicron surge, residents were not leaving out the back door of communities at the same rates that they did earlier in the pandemic. Respondents with nursing care beds cited lack of available staff, fewer hospital discharges due to COVID-19, and the holidays as reasons for a deceleration in the pace of move-ins. Notably, between 70% and 80% of organizations reported no change in the pace of move-outs, indicating that most residents have remained in their communities.
The just released 3Q2021 NIC Lending Trends Report shows issuance of new senior housing construction loans jumped in the third quarter of 2021. The increase occurred despite challenges facing new development such as supply chain disruptions, high demand, and rising prices for materials, services, and labor. This indicates that keen interest in new construction and development is returning, reversing the slowdown in lending activity seen earlier in the pandemic.
Introduction A growing number of senior housing operators and capital providers are expressing interest in the “Forgotten Middle,” a term coined by NIC in 2019 in its seminal research to describe the large middle-income seniors cohort by its demographic characteristics as well as its housing and healthcare needs. The middle market includes Americans who have too much wealth to qualify for government support programs such as Medicaid, but not enough financial resources to pay most private pay options for very long. Identifying the right balance of hospitality, services, and care delivery, while still maintaining a monthly rental price that can be paid for by this group, is the cornerstone to a successful middle-market strategy.
Senior Living investors and operators discuss innovative approaches. The pandemic has been a stress test like no other for owners, operators, and lenders alike. Lessons have been learned. But what’s the best way to align incentives among the stakeholders for success going forward?